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Our daily update is published. We’ve now tracked 28.6 million tests, up ~502k from yesterday.
The 7-day average keeps setting new highs.
For details, see: http://covidtracking.com
The 7-day average keeps setting new highs.
For details, see: http://covidtracking.com
Overall, the number of tests that came back positive today was 7.7%, the highest number since May 10.
The South and West are driving the numbers up.
The South and West are driving the numbers up.
The real news today is that the U.S. set a record for new cases today: 38,672.
The previous record was April 25 at 36,001.
The previous record was April 25 at 36,001.
The change in the national picture since June 15, when there were less than 19k new cases reported, is stunning.
But the movement really began in the South in late May.
The dot in the right chart is May 29, Memorial Day.
But the movement really began in the South in late May.
The dot in the right chart is May 29, Memorial Day.
6 states set new record highs today, including 3 of the 4 largest (California, Florida, Texas).
13 states set new highs in the last 5 days. You can see that most of them are in the South (red) or West (orange).
13 states set new highs in the last 5 days. You can see that most of them are in the South (red) or West (orange).
The regions in the US, as defined by the Census, are not the same size. The South has twice as many people as the Northeast, where the outbreak was most intense in the spring.
200+ million people live in the regions where cases are growing quickly.
200+ million people live in the regions where cases are growing quickly.
Another implication of that fact: there is a lot of headroom left for the outbreak to grow.
We've locked in lots of transmission already as the data we see here lags by 1-3 weeks from the time of infection.
We've locked in lots of transmission already as the data we see here lags by 1-3 weeks from the time of infection.
And again, this is not just about testing more. Here's an updated chart from the one in this post: https://covidtracking.com/blog/its-not-just-testing
Case growth is outstripping test growth in all of these states. And Florida has conducted fewer tests this week than last.
Case growth is outstripping test growth in all of these states. And Florida has conducted fewer tests this week than last.
The good news remains the continuing decline in the Northeast.
But the question is whether this is sustainable if the outbreak continues to roll outside the region.
But the question is whether this is sustainable if the outbreak continues to roll outside the region.
Here's the continuing best news: deaths have not turned upward.
And the death numbers today and yesterday have been too high as they reflect Delaware (yesterday) and Arizona (today) rectifying undercounting of COVID-19 deaths from previous days.
And the death numbers today and yesterday have been too high as they reflect Delaware (yesterday) and Arizona (today) rectifying undercounting of COVID-19 deaths from previous days.
(Corrected previous tweet—Delaware reviewed death records; they did not count new probable deaths.) https://www.delawareonline.com/story/news/coronavirus-in-delaware/2020/06/23/delaware-added-67-unreported-covid-19-deaths-its-total-count-coronavirus-delaware-john-carney/3243134001/
California had seen rising case counts, but its other numbers looked solid—% positive was low, hospitalizations were not growing—but this week, the state appears to be turning.
