1\\ I don't yet know what's driving the uptick in COVID-19 hostpitalizations in the border states

And not because there are too few theories, but because there are too many

One theory is that it's a change in treatment protocol: https://twitter.com/117benfrank1706/status/1275845542803841026

2\\ Another is that with the hysteria behind us, people are using hospitals again, and anyone who comes in gets tested.

And perhaps we are not shuffling everyone off to nursing homes so quickly https://twitter.com/nj_hill/status/1275813733105795075?s=20

3\\ Another is that expats in Mexico are traveling to CA/AZ/TX for treatment https://www.wusa9.com/article/news/health/coronavirus/white-house-investigates-mexico-travel-covid-19-spread/507-8f6031a1-e121-4e84-b40e-8d482c7d9b2b

4\\ Another is that summer heat is driving people indoors, where close proximity accelerates COVID-19 spread (just as lockdowns likely did!) https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1274900169881014272?s=20

5\\ Of course, the theory favored by elites is that this is retribution for the Red states who dared to preserve civil liberties while their Blue brethren were sliding into hysteria

And of course, there isn't a shred of evidence for this in the data. Mostly, Red outperformed Blue

6\\ In the mean time, deaths stubbornly refuse to follow cases, and I expect this will remain the case. Probably all the theories above are somewhat true

So in a few more weeks, we can look forward to the next round of "Wait two weeks!" whack-a-mole https://twitter.com/ElonBachman/status/1275828755018194944?s=20