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Is Ryan Tannehill 
THE BEST QB VALUE in any format? [thread]
![Is Ryan Tannehill THE BEST QB VALUE in any format? [thread]](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EbRi444XsAY0qkE.jpg "Is Ryan Tannehill THE BEST QB VALUE in any format? [thread]")
THE BEST QB VALUE in any format? [thread]
For starters
Only 31, 5+ good years left
Unquestioned starter
ADP QB17+ depending on format
Rushing floor >200yds/yr
...but wait there's more
Only 31, 5+ good years left Unquestioned starterADP QB17+ depending on formatRushing floor >200yds/yr...but wait there's more
He was ELITE in 2 strong metrics in 2019
Expected points added (EPA) - estimates a play’s value based on the change in situation, assigning a point value
CPOE - completion % over expected (based on comp% and aDOT)
Expected points added (EPA) - estimates a play’s value based on the change in situation, assigning a point value
CPOE - completion % over expected (based on comp% and aDOT)
Tannehill has always had a good CPOE, with the 7th highest mark of QBs with 3000 plays since 2013
What jumped in 2019 was his EPA (2nd best) which combined with high CPOE made him truly an elite QB (thanks to @benbbaldwi& http://rbsdm.com )
Why the jump in EPA? It's probably multifaceted but a combinations of scheme, play calling and playMAKERS
We know Tannehill's TD rate >7% was insane & likely unrepeatable... but EPA isn't as fluky as TDs & it shows he was adding value on every play not just TDs
is the EPA bump is simply explained by him finally completing passes to players who could do this
...& this
His 16 game pace from weeks 7-17 was 4169-35-8 + 290-6 rushing (QB6)... the TDs are likely unsustainable but the rest of his play likely is
with a redraft ADP of QB17 & as late as QB27 in some formats, he still has multi-year top 12 QB potential... & in dynasty SF/2QB where the value is greatest he's still a cheap add
Regression is not the boogeyman 
, it's something we can expect and project which is a GOOD thing.
Tannehill's TDs can
and he'll still be good. He was really good last year by metrics other than TDs
, it's something we can expect and project which is a GOOD thing. Tannehill's TDs can
and he'll still be good. He was really good last year by metrics other than TDs
I don't think there's another QB who is in prime years, has been this good recently and is so cheap heading into the season 
