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Criminals are rational.
People tend to believe that criminals are irrational psychos who don't give a fig about logic - & morality. Trends from many countries, including Nigeria, say the exact opposite.
There's evidence that the legal, social & physical costs of committing 1/n https://twitter.com/eyooekpo/status/1273911584474177537
People tend to believe that criminals are irrational psychos who don't give a fig about logic - & morality. Trends from many countries, including Nigeria, say the exact opposite.
There's evidence that the legal, social & physical costs of committing 1/n https://twitter.com/eyooekpo/status/1273911584474177537
crime have an inverse relationship with its incidence or variation.
From terrorists, rapists & pedophiles to armed robbers & cultists, they guage what the costs are from time to time.
Only 13% of burglaries in the US occur when the home is occupied. It's over 40% in Britain,
From terrorists, rapists & pedophiles to armed robbers & cultists, they guage what the costs are from time to time.
Only 13% of burglaries in the US occur when the home is occupied. It's over 40% in Britain,
Holland and Canada. Why? Yeah you guessed right. Guns!
Home owners in the US are more likely to have guns than those in the UK for example. And you know, all a burglar wants is to secure the bag, not kick the bucket.
There's another striking example.
Home owners in the US are more likely to have guns than those in the UK for example. And you know, all a burglar wants is to secure the bag, not kick the bucket.
There's another striking example.
Residential burglaries dropped by a whopping 89% when Atlanta City passed a law to allow heads of households to own guns. Lol.
Even Boko Haram terrorists whose mission is to kill or die retreat, hide and surrender in the face of superior force by the Nigerian Army.
Even Boko Haram terrorists whose mission is to kill or die retreat, hide and surrender in the face of superior force by the Nigerian Army.
The likelihood of incurring stiff legal penalties such as imprisonment tends to vary inversely with criminal activity in general.
For instance, an Australian study measuring crime rate & the rate of imprisonment/1000 crimes committed over 35 years confirmed this relationship.
For instance, an Australian study measuring crime rate & the rate of imprisonment/1000 crimes committed over 35 years confirmed this relationship.
As the rate (or likelihood) of imprisonment went down, crime rate spiked.
Now to the reason I quoted the tweet that informed this thread.
The degree of social consciousness of a crime or the approval of the perpetrators also forms part of the costs that a criminal considers.
Now to the reason I quoted the tweet that informed this thread.
The degree of social consciousness of a crime or the approval of the perpetrators also forms part of the costs that a criminal considers.
I don't have the data for this but I observe that the more conscious of & abhorrent a society is to a crime, the less likely the perpetrators are brazen about it.
Consider rape, cultism, pedophilia or internet fraud. I served in a Cross River community & saw mainstream cultism.
Consider rape, cultism, pedophilia or internet fraud. I served in a Cross River community & saw mainstream cultism.
It was the "norm". In such societies, what you find is, for instance, a cultic politician (like the one in the video I quoted) whose sartorial trademark is a cultic beret and who fears no costs, either to his position or political career or even freedom.
And that's really sad.
And that's really sad.
Same principle applies to rape and pedophilia.
While outrage alone (without people to actuate it on ground) won't change much, a consistent and well-targeted one, if not anything, makes the position of the society about these crimes abundantly clear.
While outrage alone (without people to actuate it on ground) won't change much, a consistent and well-targeted one, if not anything, makes the position of the society about these crimes abundantly clear.
The ensuing costs discourage the rape culture and any association with the perpetrators or facilitators.
All of these only show how criminals behave when there are systemic consequences (or lack of it) for crimes.
Criminals are rational. They recognise costs and adjust.
END.
All of these only show how criminals behave when there are systemic consequences (or lack of it) for crimes.
Criminals are rational. They recognise costs and adjust.
END.
