When it comes to China, a LOT of historical wrongs have to be righted.
That includes the case of Coco Islands as well, doesn't it?
Feel free to mull over it for a moment before moving ahead.
Now add to that the other geopolitical and geo-economic battles that China is currently in the midst of.
Can they really afford a shooting match at this time on a border that is about as far as it can be from where they face their biggest challenges?
To sum it up, escalation is very easy to achieve.
Heck, the Chinese have just given us a beautiful example of that in the Galwan River area over the past days and weeks.
But when it comes to de-escalation, things are not so simple.
Especially when you DON'T want to 'lose face'.
And herein lies a huge challenge.
Especially when there has been such a provocation.
Will the Chinese agree to a de-escalation wherein India gets even a 'notion of victory'?
I'd say, no.
They won't.
They CAN'T.
The CCP will HAVE to be 'victorious', whatever may be the case.
Such is the nature of communist regimes.
They just cannot be seen to be weak.
So brace yourselves, folks. The coming days promise to be really interesting indeed, to say the least.
Indian retaliation may or may not come tomorrow, or day after, or even next week.
But come it surely will.
The first steps are likely to be economic.
Military steps, much needed, if they indeed happen, might come later.
The Post-COVID world that I talked about a couple of months ago seems to be shaping out just as I thought it would. This thread might be worth a relook at this point in time. https://twitter.com/CestMoiz/status/1252640204529307651
If you think an India-China war is coming, well let me break some news to you - it has already started when the PLA came into Galwan with intentions to stay, instead of leaving.
The thing is that the wheels of history seem to be moving faster and faster with each passing day.
A lot of changes are likely to come by very soon, including possibly in national boundaries.
Brace yourselves, it will be nothing short of a roller-coaster ride!
In the end, I'll just leave this tweet here.
:fin: https://twitter.com/CestMoiz/status/1179243881508016129
^^
Above thread in my blog https://twitter.com/CestMoiz/status/1273792642288021505
You can follow @CestMoiz.
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