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@dandrezner
As an epidemiologist, I see the problem in the US preventing Covid-19 spread: many in the population view with contempt anyone urging them to use facemasks/socially distance themselves.
They were enough to elect a president. They are enough to propagate an epidemic
As an epidemiologist, I see the problem in the US preventing Covid-19 spread: many in the population view with contempt anyone urging them to use facemasks/socially distance themselves.
They were enough to elect a president. They are enough to propagate an epidemic
Sad but true.
Unfortunately, the challenge in stopping the outbreak is now huge.
The time to have stopped in was back in January.
Unfortunately, the challenge in stopping the outbreak is now huge.
The time to have stopped in was back in January.
But if your starting point is that everything's a hoax or that the outbreak will mysteriously disappear in the middle of November, it's not surprising that the outbreak has taken hold of the country.
It will now persist until 80+% of the population has been exposed to it (it's ~5% now) or there a vaccine (I'm not as optimistic as Fauci is about having one this year). I worked on the AIDS vaccine back in the 1990s--notice the success in developing a vaccine Since then.
To follow this outbreak, watch hospitalizations. If they are going up, the outbreak is spreading. If they plateau at hospital capacity in a state, the only way to cope with that situation is to lockdown.
Otherwise (with all due respect to the Lieutenant Governor of Texas), people die. Who shouldn't. And wouldn't otherwise.
Besides the issue with Covid-19 isn't mortality so much as sequelae.
And we haven't considered much about the children--for whom schools reopen in less than 3 mos.
If they have growth retardation (a la 1918) or impact on neurobehavioral development, is it really benign in kids
And we haven't considered much about the children--for whom schools reopen in less than 3 mos.
If they have growth retardation (a la 1918) or impact on neurobehavioral development, is it really benign in kids
Then again, if you don't test, supposedly, the outbreak goes away.
If you don't measure the effect on children, the pediatric sequelae go away.
Except that they are really still there.
If you don't measure the effect on children, the pediatric sequelae go away.
Except that they are really still there.
