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With rains swelling the Blue Nile, Ethiopia is just weeks away from beginning to fill the massive dam it is building.
Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan urgently need to make concessions for a deal. [Thread] https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-africa/ethiopia/nile-dam-talks-short-window-embrace-compromise
Ethiopia, Egypt and Sudan urgently need to make concessions for a deal. [Thread] https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-africa/ethiopia/nile-dam-talks-short-window-embrace-compromise
2/ The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam has been a source of friction between Ethiopia & Egypt for almost the entire period of its construction, which began in 2010.
Check out this timeline for more details ↓ https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-africa/ethiopia/grand-ethiopian-renaissance-dam-timeline
Check out this timeline for more details ↓ https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/horn-africa/ethiopia/grand-ethiopian-renaissance-dam-timeline
3/ While significant progress has been made, two keys issues prevent a deal from being signed:
→ Drought mitigation protocols
→ Dispute resolution mechanism
→ Drought mitigation protocols
→ Dispute resolution mechanism
On drought mitigation protocols:Addis Ababa should table proposals that show empathy for downstream concerns, while Cairo should abandon its current aggressive public diplomacy. /4
On a dispute resolution mechanism:A conciliation commission, where the mediator makes non-binding recommendations, could foster greater understanding and consensus.
If conciliation fails, the parties would be obliged to submit to binding AU-led arbitration. /5
6/ The filling of the dam is imminent.
All parties will need to adopt more conciliatory positions if this critical phase of negotiations is to succeed.
All parties will need to adopt more conciliatory positions if this critical phase of negotiations is to succeed.
As @wdavison10 explains, the dam should be seen as a tool for cooperation, not a source of conflict. [End]
