How Brexity is Northern Ireland?

A 2nd thread on findings from #NILifeTimes Survey of 1200 respondents, conducted Sept19-Feb20

@ARK_info @UKandEU

Full results here: https://www.ark.ac.uk/nilt/2019/ 

#nilt2019
#Remain #Leave #Brexit

1/7
Northern Ireland voted Remain & the #nilt2019 results suggest public opinion here reflects this.

When we nudged people to place themselves in one category or another, we see that fewer people described themselves as ‘Leavers’ than those who simply refused to pick a side.

2/7
Aaaaaand, we have a new cleavage #Brexit

63% of Remainers & 58% of Leavers would call themselves very strong Remainers/Leavers.

Even those who merely feel closer to one side seem to feel the sentiment strongly (see graph).

What will this mean now NI has left the EU 🇪🇺? 🤔
3/3
It isn't accurate to assume #Unionist is shorthand for pro-Leave. Just under ½ are Leave but ¼ are Remain & ¼ won’t pick a side.

In contrast #Nationalists are strongly pro-Remain (83%)

#Neithers are a bit of a mixed bag: 56% Remain, 19% Neither😕, 15% Leave

#Others 1/3 DK

4/4
In Remain/Leave breakdown by party supporters:
There is a striking symmetry within unionist & nationalist parties.

DUP & UUP [1/2 pro- #Leave] (but 28% pro-Remain)

SF & SDLP [9/10 pro- #Remain]

Clear majority of @allianceparty supporters are pro-Remain [7/10].

5/7
Another key finding is that the clear majority of NI respondents (60%) -- incl. across the party spectrum-- believe UK should seek a close future relationship with EU.

Just 11% think future 🇬🇧-🇪🇺 relationship should be a distant one.

Paging @DavidGHFrost 📝

#NILifeTimes

6/7
So, most in NI want 🇬🇧to be close to 🇪🇺.

The NI/IRL #Protocol means this is a position of pragmatism as well as principle --

A close UK-EU deal would help relations all round for N.Ireland, which sits perched between an EU & a GB border.

7/7

More #nilt2019 threads tomoro!😅
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