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New polling: The Conservatives are still well ahead of Labour on the economy.
Tories are down on this slightly on the election, but still hold a commanding 20% lead.
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2020/06/17/conservatives-still-more-trusted-economy-can-they-
Tories are down on this slightly on the election, but still hold a commanding 20% lead.
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2020/06/17/conservatives-still-more-trusted-economy-can-they-
The economy may have dropped off the agenda in recent years, bit has this week regained its position at the top of our issues tracker for the first time since the EU referendum.
So questions about economic credibility are going to matter.
So questions about economic credibility are going to matter.
BUT
There are two reasons to think it is going to be harder for the Conservative's to hold onto this lead than it was in the Cameron era...
There are two reasons to think it is going to be harder for the Conservative's to hold onto this lead than it was in the Cameron era...
Firstly, the public are more in favour of growing the state than they were in 2010. While Johnson has tried to shift the party on this, it is clearly a more difficult turf for the Tories to play on.
Secondly, the economy is a valence issue. And, for the first time in years, we have a Labour leader who is perceived as being more competent than the Conservative leader.
Eventually, this will likely seep through to wider perceptions of the party, particularly on the economy.
Eventually, this will likely seep through to wider perceptions of the party, particularly on the economy.
It's not just competency as well. The changes in the perceptions of the two-party leaders have been wild over the past couple of months.
Starmer is now ahead on competency and decisiveness (with Johnson has seen a 23 percentage point drop).
Starmer is now ahead on competency and decisiveness (with Johnson has seen a 23 percentage point drop).
