There are now several clinical trials of vitamin D supplementation for COVID.
Spain. RCT. Age 40-70, mildly symptomatic.

Standard care vs. 25000 UI of vitamin D supplement "taken in the morning together with a toast with olive oil to facilitate its absorption." https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04334005
USA. Louisiana State University. RCT. Age 18+, new (within 24 hours) COVID-19 diagnosis

Aspirin 81 mg to be taken orally once daily for 14 days.
vs.
Asprin + Vitamin D 50,000 IU to be taken orally once weekly for 2 weeks https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04363840
The increasing interest in vitamin D deficiency in COVID is spurred by two studies, own from the Philippines and one from Indonesia.
The Philippines study looked at 212 hospitalized COVID patients in three hospitals in South Asian countries.

Normal vit D had just 4 severe or critical cases of 55 patients.

Insufficient vit D had 44 out of 80 severe/critical.

Deficient vit D 56 of 77.

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3571484
These are preprints, not peer-reviewed, limited datasets, etc. And the high correlation doesn't necessarily mean supplementation would be effective. But these are BIG numbers. Need more research. Hence the trials. And I hope we will see more retrospective analyses too.
This letter makes a strong case for more vitamin D research based on higher incidence of COVID in minority communities with known vitamin D deficiency across multiple countries. https://bmj.com/content/368/bmj.m810/rr-46
Yes that's a tiny n=20 study. But why are we not checking vit D on a large cohort ASAP?
New ecological study.

https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-21211/v1

Conclusions: We believe, that we can advise Vitamin D supplementation to protect against SARS-CoV2 infection.
"Results: The mean level of vitamin D (average 56mmol/L, STDEV 10.61) in each country was strongly associated with the number of cases/1M (mean 295.95, STDEV 298.73 p=0.004, respectively with the mortality/1M (mean 5.96, STDEV 15.13, p < 0.00001)."
"The Seneca study showed a mean serum vitamin D of 26nmol/L in Spain, 28 nmol/L in Italy and 45 nmol/L in the Nordic countries, in older people. Severe deficiency is defined as a serum 25(OH)D lower than 30nmol/L."
"In Switzerland, mean vitamin D levels are 23(nmol/L) in nursing homes and in Italy 76% of women over 70 years of age have been found to have circulating levels below 30nmol/L [3]."
"These are countries with high number of cases of COVID–19 and the aging people is the group with the highest risk for morbidity and mortality with SARS-Cov2."
Correction this paper is not new. It was published April 8. But it is getting attention today because of a NY Post article. https://twitter.com/nypost/status/1256782293341016064
A strong vitamin D correlation is great not just because supplements are inexpensive but because it also points to strong seasonality: D levels will rise sharply as we move into summer.
Even while we wait more data I think we should be routinely supplementing in nursing homes and chronically deficient communities i.e. black Americans. There is enough suggestive data to think it might help and very little downside.
“Vitamin D is typically much lower in New Yorkers,” said Dr. Eric Ascher, who has offices in Chelsea and on East 76th Street, around the corner from Lenox Hill Hospital Northwell Health, where he is affiliated. “Buildings are so high, everybody’s working indoors.”
https://twitter.com/mattwridley/status/1262472117888733188
More evidence from Europe. Stay-home kills. Go outside! Get that vit D!
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.24.20138644v1
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