1 approach to understanding #covid19 infection is to examine co-morbidities & ask what's common?

Most prevalent Cov19 co-morbs:

1)↗️age
2)Hypertension
3)Diabetes
4)Cardiovascular disease
5)Kidney disease
6)Chronic respiratory disease (esp COPD)
8)Cancers
9)BMI>40
10)♂️>♀️
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These are diverse diseases & increasing age technically not a disease at all. However, there is at least 1 factor in common among all of the co-morbidities identified thus far:

INFLAMMATION
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A survey of the co-morbidities revealed another commonality; a close association w/ dysregulation of the pro-inflammatory, neutrophil-recruiting cytokine, IL-17A.

IL-17A is made by multiple immune cell types, including lung-resident innate lymphoid cells (ILC3s).
1)↗️age
The increase inflammation that occurs with age (aka "inflammaging") is well-documented.

This paper shows how during viral infection, aged mice overproduce IL-17A (relative to young control), leading to neutrophil-mediated organ damage/death.

Rescued by anti-IL-17A Ab
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Close relationship of hypertension/kidney disease/diabetes, so some overlap in refs

2)hypertension

In short, Angiotensin II (produced by ACE) leads to elevated IL-17A & inflammation and hypertension. Targeting IL-17A lowers blood pressure.

PMID 29952002 (recent review)
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3)Diabetes

Due to the close relationship between hypertension, obesity, kidney disease, & diabetes, unclear if this is a separate co-morbidity.

Increased IL-17A is associated with secondary diabetic diseases and anti-IL-17A antibodies are being considered as therapeutics
8/
4) Cardiovascular disease

This co-morbidity should perhaps be classified as vascular disease; Chinese CoV19 patients were much more likely to have cerebrovascular disease than CV disease.

Also, overlap with hypertension. This is an older review.
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5)Kidney disease

Impossible to decouple from hypertension - see /6
10/
6)Chronic respiratory disease (esp COPD)

COPD & neutrophilic asthma have much in common. For both, IL-17A levels are elevated in BAL, implicated in pathology, & anti-IL-17A is being explored as a therapeutic

PMID 30383540/20565710/32172346 and many more
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8)Cancers
IL-17A producing cells are closely associated w/cancer. Depending on cancer type, IL-17A may have pro or anti-tumorigenic effects.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7049578/

Chronic inflammation contributes to cancer development, growth, therapy resistance & metastasis (31315034)
12/
9)BMI>40

see 2-11. Obesity/metabolic syndrome increases chances of all of these conditions.
Couple IL-17A SNPs associated w/ ⬆️susceptibility 2 ARDS, cerebrovascular disease, asthma, flu etc... May/may not be relevant 2 #covid19 . I lack expertise to critically evaluate GWAS lit, but putting here 4 someone else to investigate.
http://snpedia.com/index.php/Rs2275913
Metasite very useful for summarizing/aggregating references on polymorphisms.

If you did @23andMe sequencing, you can see pull your own data through these links:
https://geneticlifehacks.com/increased-inflammation-and-il-17a-polymorphisms/
https://www.geneticlifehacks.com/are-you-genetically-unlikely-to-get-the-flu/
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How might chronic inflammation (& elevated IL-17A) contribute to #covid19 1) susceptibility and/or 2) severity?

IL-17A inhibits IFN-λ , the first line of defense against respiratory viruses! https://twitter.com/JukeBaRosh/status/1246917212549648391?s=20
16/ https://twitter.com/JukeBaRosh/status/1246917209756250113?s=20
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"•IFNλs are the 1st IFNs produced that suppress initial viral spread
•IFNλs exhibit potent antiviral functions w/o activating inflammation
•Type I IFNs come up later to enhance antiviral & pro-inflammatory responses"
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.immuni.2017.04.025
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This leads to 1st hypothesis:

Individuals w/inflammation that affects the airways (including the vasculature) are less able to activate an effective first line defense against CoV-2. This would mean that more virus can get past upper airway & into alveolar spaces of lungs.
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VIRAL LOAD appears 2 CORRELATE w/DISEASE severity (32199493). Severe patients in 1 study avg ~60X higher viral loads than mild cases. IF disease severity also correlates w/exposure load, then HEALTHCARE WORKERS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE. We're already seeing evidence of that.
20/
Why might viral load lead to more severe disease?

#covid19 makes ORF1ab, a protein shown in SARS to halt/delay interferon (IFN) response, including IFN-λ.

(25481026/19369340/32270184)
DOI: 10.1016/j.cell.2020.04.026/. https://twitter.com/virusninja/status/1251171482463600640?s=20
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7-10 days post-symptom, severe cases either start getting better or their condition nose-dives, leading to acute respiratory distress syndrome, associated sepsis, & in ~40-70% of cases, death.

Timing of nosedive correlates with a number of markers.
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A few:

Seroconversion (robust antibody response against virus)
https://twitter.com/JukeBaRosh/status/1245350460069941250?s=20

Increase in neutrophil count
https://twitter.com/JukeBaRosh/status/1244442983241564160?s=20

Increasing C-Reactive-Protein/lymphopenia
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32259132/ 
24/

Seroconversion leads to complement activation.
ie: antibody binds virus & destroys.

Sounds like good thing, but if there's already massive inflammation (and limited ways to shut down) it's BAD.

w/ SARS, seroconversion was associated w/ ARDS/death.
https://twitter.com/JukeBaRosh/status/1245354391936401408?s=20
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Complement activation has also been associated w/ severe cases of #covid19

"Our studies suggest that at least a subset of severe COVID-19 infection involves a catastrophic, complement-mediated thrombotic microvascular injury syndrome..."

DOI: 10.1016/j.trsl.2020.04.007
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Distancing can reduce, but not 🛑 viral spread, & even PPE has limitations, so we need therapeutics

Ways to tackle:

1) ⬇️inflammation
2)⬆️front-line defenses in respiratory tract (esp upper)
3) target viral replication
4) target cytokine responses (& maybe complementation)
27/
Until there's (🤞) vaccine, no way to stop virus. Chronic inflammation clearly puts people at higher risk.

Many ways to ⬇️ inflammation
⬆️ ACE2/ACE1 ratio
⬆️ IL10/IL-17A ratio
⬆️ HDL/LDL ratio
⬇️ blood sugar
⬇️ pressure
⬇️ BMI

Sometimes inflammation can't be controlled.
30/
So what about people that get sick? Trials ongoing for many drugs.

8+ days post-symptom, when infectious virus can't be recovered, is likely 2 late to give drugs targeting viral entry & replication.

Prophylactic/early onset trials are needed to assess efficacy.

32031570
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Neutrophilic inflammation causes tissue damage, fluid accumulayion, & NETS; ⬆️neutrophil counts in serum r associated w/morbidity.

Therapeutics given early, 2 ⬇️ neutrophil accumulation, are logical drug candidates.

IL-17A is one such candidate https://twitter.com/NatRevImmunol/status/1257344861021364227?s=19
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Another potential benefit of targeting IL-17A is that it completely reverses the steroid insensitivity of neutrophilic inflammation #inmice. This paper is from Feb 2020.

https://insight.jci.org/articles/view/132836
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