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1/n We're all familiar with the Coronavirus(SARSv2) THESIS –global pandemic, infection rates, health care burden, flattening the curve, etc. In this thread I gather a loose ANTITHESIS that is emerging, purely out of intellectual interest in the Hegelian sense. Take w grain o salt
2/n German physician Dr Wolfgang Wodarg makes the case for false positive testing, complexities with determining infection and death rates among comorbidities & endemic latent infections to suggest that things may not be as they appear
3/n In Italy 99% of deaths had other illnesses, & 90% were over 70yo. The common test may show false-positives. It hasn't been determined whether deaths were FROM SARSv2 or simply WITH SARSv2.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-18/99-of-those-who-died-from-virus-had-other-illness-italy-says
Also: https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-18/99-of-those-who-died-from-virus-had-other-illness-italy-says
Also: https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/
4/n Before 2019, 6 CoronaViruses were known to infect humans. SARSv1 and MERS were worse. The rest are endemic in all populations, first described in 1960s. You've already been infected & reinfected by coronaviruses before.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tim.2016.03.003
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tim.2016.03.003
In some populations endemic coronaviruses account for 30% of respiratory infections. See Epidemiology and prevalence of coronaviruses https://adc.bmj.com/content/58/7/500
Coronviruses are endemic across all human populations, affecting 12% of the population at any one time in some populations https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0100781
HCoV-NL63 is an example endemic coronavirus that also targets the same ACE2 receptor as SARSv1 and SARSv2
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_coronavirus_NL63
See: https://jvi.asm.org/content/89/4/1954
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Human_coronavirus_NL63
See: https://jvi.asm.org/content/89/4/1954
Oxford University meta-analysis of existing estimates gives overall mortality rate of COVID-19 (SARSv2) at 0.125%, but 1% for over 70yo. There are acknowledged uncertainties but if true this would be little different to normal Flu. https://www.cebm.net/global-covid-19-case-fatality-rates/
When Italy reports a death rate of 7.7% and Germany reports a death rate of 0.3% … many questions come to mind.
New research suggests that the mortality rate of Covid19 in Wuhan was only 0.04% to 0.12% - lower than normal flu, whose mortality is about 0.1% https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.12.20022434v2
Stanford Professor suggests WHO death rates are meaningless, that fatality rates are more likely between 0.05% and 1%, that C-19 deaths might be potentially burried in the noise of Flu-like illnesses https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/
Preexisting endemic coronaviruses can cause 8% fatality rate in elderly populations, and "confirm that cross-reactivity to antibody against nucleocapsid proteins from these viruses must be considered when interpreting serological tests for SARS-CoV" https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2095096/
Preexisting endemic coronaviruses infect tens of millions every year and maintain a prevalence of up to 11% in those hospitalised for respiratory infections https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3805243/
@Sean__Last has an excellent breakdown of the profound uncertainty here, as well as reasons for thinking the death rate will be substantially lower https://ideasanddata.wordpress.com/2020/03/20/how-deadly-is-the-corona-virus-covid-19/
"They remember having seen very strange pneumonia, very severe, particularly in old people in December and even November...the virus was circulating in Lombardy before we were aware of this outbreak occurring in China." https://www.npr.org/2020/03/19/817974987/every-single-individual-must-stay-home-italy-s-coronavirus-deaths-pass-china-s
Nobel prize winning Stanford Professor argues we'll be fine, the recovery from COVID-19 measures will be rapid, and is more concerned about panic https://www.latimes.com/science/story/2020-03-22/coronavirus-outbreak-nobel-laureate
Early Oxford study potentially suggests that half the UK population may already be infected & that only 0.1% require hospitalisation https://www.dropbox.com/s/oxmu2rwsnhi9j9c/Draft-COVID-19-Model%20%2813%29.pdf?dl=0 via https://www.ft.com/content/5ff6469a-6dd8-11ea-89df-41bea055720b and https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8148529/Coronavirus-infected-half-British-population-say-Oxford-University-experts.html
Analysis of official Italian government report suggests Italy is an outlier due to nosocomial (via hospital) transmission of very sick patients https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/03/24/the-italian-connection/
Lee Jussim has a very straight forward logical argument in this thread for infection starting much earlier than believed in most countries, and only ramping up now because symptoms are so mild in most people https://twitter.com/PsychRabble/status/1242625086328274944
Italian Minister of Health “The way in which we code deaths in our country is very generous in the sense that all the people who die in hospitals with the coronavirus are deemed to be dying of the coronavirus." https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/the-catastrophe-in-italy/
Imperial College London now says the NHS has enough capacity and ICU beds for a SARSv2 surge, revising projected deaths down from 500k to less than 20k https://www.newscientist.com/article/2238578-uk-has-enough-intensive-care-units-for-coronavirus-expert-predicts/
UK government now officially states that "COVID-19 is no longer considered to be a high consequence infectious disease" https://www.gov.uk/guidance/high-consequence-infectious-diseases-hcid#status-of-covid-19
Buchanan on What Price for Victory? https://www.unz.com/pbuchanan/what-price-victory-in-the-coronavirus-war/
"Half to two-thirds of the deaths from corona would have died anyhow by the end of this year." https://www.facebook.com/bjornlomborg/photos/a.221758208967/10159010592618968/?type=3&theater
400 different coronaviruses found in bats in China. Humans are Infected All the Time by novel coronaviruses https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2020/04/hundreds-coronaviruses-are-in-china-and-asian-bats-humans-are-infected-all-the-time.html
From the CDC: "For people 65 years and older, current COVID-19 hospitalization rates are similar to those observed during comparable time points during recent high severity influenza seasons." https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/covidview/index.html
CDC cuts Coronavirus death toll in half, down to 37k from 67k https://trendingpolitics.com/breaking-new-cdc-coronavirus-data-cuts-american-death-toll-nearly-in-half/
Stanford University antibody study estimates Covid death rate at 0.1% - 0.2% (Flu is 0.1%) https://thehill.com/opinion/healthcare/494034-the-data-are-in-stop-the-panic-and-end-the-total-isolation and https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463v2
Virus of Mass Destruction: "Once an official narrative reaches this point, it is unassailable by facts and reason. It no longer needs facts to justify it. It justifies itself with its own existence. Reason cannot penetrate it." https://www.unz.com/chopkins/virus-of-mass-destruction/
“For the non-vulnerable population, coronavirus carries no more risk than a "nasty flu", says Prof Mark Woolhouse, an expert in infectious disease who led the research.“ And actually has much lower mortality than flu, for the young/healthy. https://www.bbc.com/news/health-52543692
Incorporating inhomogeneity in susceptibility & infectivity in standard epidemiological models, causes a major reduction in the herd immunity threshold, and in the ultimate infection level. https://judithcurry.com/2020/05/10/why-herd-immunity-to-covid-19-is-reached-much-earlier-than-thought/
Sweden. No lock down. Minimal economic disruption. Result. https://twitter.com/pwyowell/status/1259828283824394240
Deaths per week per million population, Sweden vs USA. Without lockdown vs with lockdown. https://blog.jim.com/economics/lockdown/
The effect on WuFlu deaths per million population after ending lockdown in Iran. https://blog.jim.com/culture/legacy-media-report-that-failure-to-make-sufficient-human-sacrifices-is-punished-by-the-wrath-of-the-gods/
Australia has suffered 71 Covid-19 deaths while implementing harsh restrictions and shutting down huge swathes of the economy: "if we can just save 1 life" is the moronic plea. We suffered 1,145 road deaths in 2018 https://www.bitre.gov.au/sites/default/files/Road%20trauma%20Australia%202018%20statistical%20summary.pdf an "acceptable cost" to the majority
We don’t need to have a national debate about whether the economic costs of lockdowns outweigh their public health benefits, because lockdowns do not provide public health benefits. https://www.aei.org/articles/lockdowns-dont-work/
There is no empirical evidence for these lockdowns.
Comparing US states shows there is no relationship between lockdowns and lower Covid-19 deaths. https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/04/22/there-is-no-empirical-evidence-for-these-lockdowns/
Comparing US states shows there is no relationship between lockdowns and lower Covid-19 deaths. https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/04/22/there-is-no-empirical-evidence-for-these-lockdowns/
The lockdowns still aren’t working. They are not reducing the number of Covid-19 cases, but they are destroying our economies. https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/05/08/the-lockdowns-still-arent-working/
Good summary:
There Is No Evidence Lockdowns Saved Lives. It Is Indisputable They Caused Great Harm https://wmbriggs.com/post/30833/
Doubts Grow (another good one from Briggs) https://wmbriggs.com/post/30804/
Lockdowns failed to alter the course of pandemic and are now destroying millions of livelihoods worldwide https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8347635/Lockdowns-failed-alter-course-pandemic-JP-Morgan-study-claims.html
"A hard lockdown does not protect old and frail people living in care homes...These facts have led me to the following conclusions. Everyone will be exposed to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, and most people will become infected." https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)31035-7/fulltext
‘A Year’s Worth of Suicide Attempts in the Last Four Weeks’: California Doctor Calls for End to Lockdown https://www.nationalreview.com/news/a-years-worth-of-suicide-attempts-in-the-last-four-weeks-california-doctor-calls-for-end-to-lockdown/
Japan Ends Coronavirus Emergency With 850 Deaths and No Lockdown (despite high-density living, etc) https://www.newsweek.com/japan-ends-coronavirus-emergency-850-deaths-no-lockdown-1506336
600 physicians call the lockdown a mass-casualty incident https://www.forbes.com/sites/gracemarieturner/2020/05/22/600-physicians-say-lockdowns-are-a-mass-casualty-incident/#20b40fd750fa
German Official Leaks Report Denouncing Corona as ‘A Global False Alarm’ https://www.strategic-culture.org/news/2020/05/29/german-official-leaks-report-denouncing-corona-as-global-false-alarm/
LOLOLOL 
"All-cause mortality during COVID-19: No plague and a likely signature of mass homicide by government response" https://www.researchgate.net/publication/341832637_All-cause_mortality_during_COVID-19_No_plague_and_a_likely_signature_of_mass_homicide_by_government_response
"All-cause mortality during COVID-19: No plague and a likely signature of mass homicide by government response" https://www.researchgate.net/publication/341832637_All-cause_mortality_during_COVID-19_No_plague_and_a_likely_signature_of_mass_homicide_by_government_response
Asymptomatic spread of coronavirus is ‘very rare,’ WHO says https://www.cnbc.com/2020/06/08/asymptomatic-coronavirus-patients-arent-spreading-new-infections-who-says.html, reiterating what they said on the 1st Feb https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200201-sitrep-12-ncov.pdf?sfvrsn=273c5d35_2. Casts general lockdown as irrational.
The CDC has revised its estimate of the coronavirus mortality rate to 0.26% (ignore USA Today spin) https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/factcheck/2020/06/05/fact-check-cdc-estimates-covid-19-death-rate-0-26/5269331002/. Interesting given the lockdowns were originally sold on the risk of the mortality rate being >3%
Even the prestigious Nature is publishing easily debunked papers propping up the Lockdown https://twitter.com/AlexBerenson/status/1270031726903951362 and https://twitter.com/AlexBerenson/status/1270045219371847680
More potential costs of locking down https://www.zerohedge.com/political/again-what-were-benefits-locking-down?
Updated facts on Covid-19
"According to the latest immunological and serological studies, the overall lethality of Covid-19 (IFR) is about 0.1% and thus in the range of a strong seasonal influenza (flu)." https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/
"According to the latest immunological and serological studies, the overall lethality of Covid-19 (IFR) is about 0.1% and thus in the range of a strong seasonal influenza (flu)." https://swprs.org/a-swiss-doctor-on-covid-19/
We live in idiocracy. Talk of second wave is agitprop https://off-guardian.org/2020/07/07/second-wave-not-even-close/
More analysis and summary https://www.unz.com/mwhitney/looks-like-sweden-was-right-after-all/
