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The basic anatomy of a Top-24 Dynasty Wide Receiver.
MT
Nuk
Godwin
Adams
T Hill
Amari
DJ Moore
M Evans
Golladay
Sutton
JuJu
A Rob
Chark
Diggs
OBJ
Boyd
DK
AJ Brown
Julio
Gallup
Ridley
Keenan
Deebo
Kupp
This is the data set used.
Let’s take a look...
MT
Nuk
Godwin
Adams
T Hill
Amari
DJ Moore
M Evans
Golladay
Sutton
JuJu
A Rob
Chark
Diggs
OBJ
Boyd
DK
AJ Brown
Julio
Gallup
Ridley
Keenan
Deebo
Kupp
This is the data set used.
Let’s take a look...
1. Draft Capital -
Round 1 - 7
Round 2 - 10
Round 3 - 5
Round 5 - 2
Day 1 or 2 is basically a requirement. The two outliers are Stefon Diggs (who was injured ACL) and Ty Hill. And we all know his outlier story.
Round 1 - 7
Round 2 - 10
Round 3 - 5
Round 5 - 2
Day 1 or 2 is basically a requirement. The two outliers are Stefon Diggs (who was injured ACL) and Ty Hill. And we all know his outlier story.
2. Height. I wouldn’t normally think this is something worth mentioning, but check it out...
5’9” or shorter - 0
5’10” or 5’11” - 3
6’0” or 6’1” - 11
6’2” or taller - 10
Just interesting stuff there.
5’9” or shorter - 0
5’10” or 5’11” - 3
6’0” or 6’1” - 11
6’2” or taller - 10
Just interesting stuff there.
3. 40 time. This may surprise you.
4.39 or faster - 4
4.40 - 4.49 - 8
4.50 - 4.59 - 10
4.60 or slower - 2
M Thomas, Nuk, D Adams are all in the upper 4.5’s. 40 time has limiter, as you don’t want to see above a 4.6, but as long as the player is in the 4.4, 4.5 range.
4.39 or faster - 4
4.40 - 4.49 - 8
4.50 - 4.59 - 10
4.60 or slower - 2
M Thomas, Nuk, D Adams are all in the upper 4.5’s. 40 time has limiter, as you don’t want to see above a 4.6, but as long as the player is in the 4.4, 4.5 range.
4. College Dominator. There are a number of ways to measure this, so I just used http://playerprofiler.com .
29 or less (below 50th percentile):
3 players
30 - 34 (50-66 %):
7 players
35-39 (67-80 %):
7 players
40 or more (80+ %):
7 players
29 or less (below 50th percentile):
3 players
30 - 34 (50-66 %):
7 players
35-39 (67-80 %):
7 players
40 or more (80+ %):
7 players
5. Breakout age. Again, there are a few different ways to measure ‘when’ a player broke out. I use http://playerprofiler.com as the standard.
18 year old BOA - 7
19 year old BOA - 9
20 year old BOA - 6
21 yr old + BOA - 2
Ty Hill still an outlier.
18 year old BOA - 7
19 year old BOA - 9
20 year old BOA - 6
21 yr old + BOA - 2
Ty Hill still an outlier.
So. In review. If you’re looking for an elite Dynasty Wide Receiver in the 2020 class - here is what you’re you are seeking:
Drafted in rounds 1-3
6’0” or taller
A 4.59 or better 40-Time
A college dominator of 30 or better
A BOA of 18 or 19 years old
...
Drafted in rounds 1-3
6’0” or taller
A 4.59 or better 40-Time
A college dominator of 30 or better
A BOA of 18 or 19 years old
...
There is more to it than just this, of course. But if you are looking at a player that violates a couple of these categories, then just know you are betting on an outlier.
Always try to increase your hit rate. Start with the basics and go from there.
Always try to increase your hit rate. Start with the basics and go from there.
And did RBs a while back ...
https://twitter.com/dynogametheory/status/1224864638115778561?s=21 https://twitter.com/DynoGameTheory/status/1224864638115778561
https://twitter.com/dynogametheory/status/1224864638115778561?s=21 https://twitter.com/DynoGameTheory/status/1224864638115778561
And TEs ...
https://twitter.com/dynogametheory/status/1229246144842125313?s=21 https://twitter.com/DynoGameTheory/status/1229246144842125313
https://twitter.com/dynogametheory/status/1229246144842125313?s=21 https://twitter.com/DynoGameTheory/status/1229246144842125313
