Will Trump be the first president to be impeached TWICE? Thread: 1/

This impeachment process is moving fast. The House wants it over by Christmas. Articles of Impeachment narrowly focused on Ukraine could be voted on in weeks.

Republicans are moving away from Trump... but probably not fast enough for 2/3 of the Senate to convict him and remove him from office.

So assume he survives a Senate trial, say 50 votes for conviction, 46 against, 4 abstentions.

Let's say that this looks really bad for the GOP. The public broadly support removal. The backlash contributes to Trump losing the 2020 election.

If he loses, how will Trump act during the Lame Duck period of nearly 3 months where he's the outgoing President?

Lame-Duck Trump will be at his most dangerous. Unconstrained by any political considerations and with a grievance the size of the moon.

If Trump loses the election in November 2020, can he really be allowed to stay in the White House until January? Or will he have to be dragged out of office early?

So I can see a scenario where in November 2020, the House has to impeach Trump and the Senate remove him. The political costs at that point will be low. The House and Senate will be lame ducks too.

This seems to me to be a pretty likely chain of events. Hard to imagine Trump going with dignity during the lame duck period.