Read on Twitter
1/ Here’s a thing.
Forget “trade war” tensions with CHINA.
A low probability, very high magnitude event that would surprise most, send shocks to markets and be top headline globally:
A Crimea -like move by CHINA on Taiwan...
Forget “trade war” tensions with CHINA.
A low probability, very high magnitude event that would surprise most, send shocks to markets and be top headline globally:
A Crimea -like move by CHINA on Taiwan...
2/ The symbolic “groundwork” has been laid.
The bridge socializing us to natural extension + (re)connection to Hong Kong (finished weeks ago) after Hong Kong’s now 20yr return to China
from Britain
.
The bridge socializing us to natural extension + (re)connection to Hong Kong (finished weeks ago) after Hong Kong’s now 20yr return to China
from Britain.
3/ Taiwan has major US navy fleet with China naval HQ at Zhanjiang in the south + Ningbo to the north of Taiwan...
4/ Notably if you do a search for “taiwan strait”—
Look at what image pops up next to the map...
Look at what image pops up next to the map...
5/ Let’s expand that image with some headlines from a few months ago...
6/ The odds are very low. But the stakes high.
What global distraction or preoccupation—or what potentially engineered domestic or coastal crisis might cause China to make a move to ‘protect or reclaim’ Taiwan?
What would US reaction be?
What leverage may China use to mute it?
What global distraction or preoccupation—or what potentially engineered domestic or coastal crisis might cause China to make a move to ‘protect or reclaim’ Taiwan?
What would US reaction be?
What leverage may China use to mute it?
7/ And 6 weeks later...BINGO. https://twitter.com/time/status/1080361821889019904?s=21
8/ I mean...this is not even like subtle nuance. “Would you like to come up and see my sketches?” https://twitter.com/cgtnofficial/status/1080299191706955777?s=12
10/ From today— China warns it can send army into Hong Kong...
11/ Jan 2021–a clear signal + warning. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-biden-taiwan-idUSKBN29Q01N
12/ keep an EYE on the Maritime Traffic Safety Law
who doesn’t love “SAFETY”?
This is publicly signaling China putting into place permission to fire on other ships in China claimed waters.
I predict a lot of defending...“fishing vessels”.
https://www.reedsmith.com/en/perspectives/2020/10/maritime-traffic-safety-law-of-the-peoples-republic-of-china
who doesn’t love “SAFETY”?
This is publicly signaling China putting into place permission to fire on other ships in China claimed waters.
I predict a lot of defending...“fishing vessels”.
https://www.reedsmith.com/en/perspectives/2020/10/maritime-traffic-safety-law-of-the-peoples-republic-of-china
13/ This is socializing SURPRISE (the potential for shock) into SUSPENSE(just waiting wittingly for it to happen) https://twitter.com/ap/status/1352904179577192449
16/ NEW... And...official US Department of State release now TODAY condemning China military pressure against Taiwan and reaffirming US commitment to help defend Taiwan + regional stability.
17/ Sunday Jan 24, 2021... escalating. https://twitter.com/deitaone/status/1353328468432453633
