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Dr Duncan Robertson
Dr_D_Robertson
Here is the justification document for which regions were placed into each tier from 2 December.A walkthrough thread.https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/938964/Coronavirus_England_
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This prompts me to have a little chat about the difference between stocks and flows.A threadette on system dynamics. With a picture of a bath for good measure. https://twitter.com/allisonpearson/status/1329222439449075713 Think
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This is why cases in university towns have changed significantly today.Commercial DHSC Test & Trace appear to have been using addresses from NHS records.Many students that moved to university had
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This is the evaluation report for the Innova lateral flow device tests that are currently being used in the Liverpool pilot.https://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2020-11-11-oxford-university-and-phe-confirm-high-sensitivity-lateral-flow-tests-following
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Here is my latest heatmap of detected Covid-19 cases in England. Data from @PHE_uk *** 177 *** cases per 100,000 in the over-80s.There were **8** cases per 100,000 in the
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The updated SPI-M slides - a short thread on what's changed.On 31 September, in a hastily arranged press conference, the Chief Scientific Adviser presented these two slides, showing projections for
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A thread on the modelling and analysis used to suggest scenarios for what *could* happen if we do nothing. And commentary on this slide. The slides that were presented in
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Right then. A little thread about 'focused protection'.Focused protection appears to be the new 'herd immunity', rebranded to sound nice and comforting.Problem is, it's anything but.Here's some background to where
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Why are there two estimates of R issued today, and why are they so different? The first estimate, the Government estimate, comes from SAGE (the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies).
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I have been following COVID-19 since January. Here was my first post http://www.duncanrobertson.com/2020/01/24/contagion-how-to-model-it-and-what-r0-actually-means/ describing R and referring to what was then called Wuhan Coronavirus (2019-
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In the discussion on A-level grades, a reminder that the Government is well aware of the problems of models and algorithms, and their implementation In 2012, the West Coast franchise
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New UK Coronavirus analysis. A thread. Public Health England has today released the second tranche of data for COVID tests. This is the most comprehensive data we have for tests
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