#Causal

Health Nerd

GidMK

Ok, so there's a lot to unpack here. This was a randomized controlled trial looking at the impacts of fasting on lying in lean and obese peopleHeadline finding - obese

Victor Chernozhukov

VC31415

Came across this paper that does panel regressions of Y (Covid growth rates) ~ P (adopted polices) + fixed effects. The elementary modeling mistake is not to control for

Gro-Tsen

gro_tsen

Je vais essayer de faire un petit peu de vulgarisation sur la difficulté d'interpréter causalement des statistiques de corrélation avec un exemple inventé tout simple. On cherche à savoir si

Jelmer Samplonius

jmsamplonius

1/8: Our new paper on the evidence base for negative consequences of climate warming induced phenological asynchrony is out today in Nature Ecology & Evolution:https://www.nature.com/articles/s41559-020-01357-0 2/8: We propose five crit

Possum Reviews

ReviewsPossum

No one has ever said "logic doesn't matter" in defense of a movie that was actually good. It's what people say when they refuse to admit they either have bad

Justin T. Pickett

JustinTPickett

(1/4) This point Mummolo makes in the back-and-forth about the Knox et al. article is relevant to policing experiments, too. It is why the key conclusions in the famous Mazerolle

Jeff Guhin

jeffguhin

You see this a lot, and the problem is, ironically, when the training/underlying philosophy of science is too focused on making qual methods look as much like quant as possible.

jan höglund

janhoglund

Started reading #books If a person tries to observe what he is thinking about at the very moment that he is reflecting on a particular subject, it is generally agreed

Đʀ ʍiℓɛѕ ʍɛdiɳa 😷

milesphd

Empirical evidence linking Florida red tide blooms to nitrogen from urban and agricultural areas near the coast https://twitter.com/jimjawitz/status/1304115018846273536 Comment or DM for free copy of articlehttps://twitter.com/milesphd/stat

Youyang Gu

youyanggu

Which metric is a better predictor of the severity of the fall surge in US states?1) Margin of Democrat victory in Nov 2020 electionor2) % infected through Sep 1, 2020Can

Brendan Keefe

BrendanKeefe

No. Not 'frozen wind turbines'The Texas power failure was caused by a failure of those in power1) ERCOT, the Texas grid operator, failed to winterize infrastructure after similar 2011 outages2)

Noah Haber

NoahHaber

"Policy evaluation in COVID-19: A graphical guide to common design issues" is out!Dream team of coauthors: Emma Clarke-Deelder (@Emma_C_Clarke), Joshua A Salomon (@SalomonJA), Avi Feller (@AviFeller), and Elizabeth A Stuart

Max Blumenthal

MaxBlumenthal

Samantha Power's husband, Cass Sunstein, has argued for the government to conduct "cognitive infiltration" operations against the anti-establishment opinions he broadly defined as "conspiracy theories."https://twitte

Asha Rangappa

AshaRangappa_

THREAD. A quick recap of what the evidence presented by the House Managers have shown, and what a (real) defense would have to address to rebut it: 2. First, CAUSATION.

Iron Economist

IronEconomist

Saw a new paper on the lead-crime hypothesis, and it is pretty much the perfect randomised intervention. Notes to follow.https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/app.20160056 In this paper they explicitly measured he blood lead levels

Nicholas H Wolfinger

NickWolfinger

Thread on my research & writing in the past year. It's a fairly slender thread, as I spent the most time on my long-overdue book on the economics of single

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