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Simon DeDeo
SimonDeDeo
The best line on the rationalists, said to me once: these are the people who read the New York Times and took it seriously. What follows next is the response
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From a purely scientific standpoint, it has been very interesting talking with people who believe the election was “stolen”. Some very anecdotal food for thought follows... First, to be clear,
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Thoughts on tails and Hayekian (neo) liberal economics. The standard story is that markets “learn”—absorbing trades and propagating the implicit information by setting prices. It’s sufficiently intelligent to bring me
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The 2010s was an intellectual era, but not an era of intellectuals: rationalists, SSC, LW, NRx, etc produced popular teaching, but no great, lasting texts. Lots of (Thomas) Huxleys, no
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Someone tosses a coin ten times; it comes up heads every time. What's the probability it comes up heads on the next toss? (Pretty darn high—part of @nntaleb's work is
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2021 predictions () Student loans will (finally) be understood as a bubble on a par with the housing market in 2008. Some of the fallout will be temporarily explained away
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Let’s check in, as @PaulSkallas says, with the DMs. Five books after @nntaleb I’ll take the Taleb-namecheck seriously. Black Swan is an amazing book, which merges life history, fiction,
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OK: following, my thoughts on Google Brain and similar institutions. Disclaimer: this is my opinion, as someone who doesn't need their funding, and has built a career without needing to
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Can you do cool research at Google Brain? Honest answer: no. You will be on the cutting edge of machine learning, yes—an engineering discipline whose basic goals are set by
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Have been waiting for the @PaulSkallas video game essay, and now it’s out on the substack. A few thoughts...https://paulskallas.substack.com/p/what-happened-to-video-games?utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email&utm_source=twitter Firs
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Feynman wisdom is that you don’t truly understand something until you can explain it to a newcomer. This gets confused with two seemingly similar claims, however, both of which are
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Evolutionary psych provides a nice example of how having a good explanation for something does not imply you understand it—and why the "goodness" of the explanation is not a guide
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