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Carl T. Bergstrom
CT_Bergstrom
Sixteen hours ago the South China Morning Post published a story about what is purported to be a new, deadlier-than-COVID pneumonia in Kazakhstan. The source seems to be a statement
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1. In short, no.This is going to take a detailed thread to unpack.https://twitter.com/mattwridley/status/1270010444279877633 2. First, let's get the blog post out of the way. Ridley is speculating that the Asiatic
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1. There's a perverse notion I keep hearing; it sure looks like an excuse to avoid doing things that people know they ought to be doing. It's that imperfect disease
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This recommendation from @CDCgov, coupled with the rationale given, beggars belief. This is thinest of absence-of-evidence arguments. Imagine what would have to be true of young adults for re-entry testing
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Graphs like the ones below scare me. I can't see how one can spin this as anything other than a disaster in the making. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html People often complain that I'm
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So various media are reporting a new pandemic flu virus discovered in China.What does this actually mean? Let's look at the original paper. Actually, that's not so easy to do
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1. A few weeks ago, several Italian doctors made quite a stir in the news. They claimed that the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus was "losing potency", and hinted at genetic changes in
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1. A thread on why we want to #FlattenTheCurve.Elsewhere, I've strongly endorsed the movement to flatten the curve, and with help from @k_thos have developed data graphics that illustrate the
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(REUTERS) The Eagles were the first punk records, top Californian musicologist says. OK, now that I've got your attention, you can see how easy it is. Take any claim you
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Last week, a press released provided initial and promising results from a large scale trial of the corticosteroid dexamethasone in hospitalized COVID patients. Today the authors released a full report:
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Racist algorithms exacerbate into the prosecutor’s fallacy: a high p(match|guilty) will still yield a very small p(guilty|match) if you dragnet.In the case, it sounds like not even p(match|guilty) was high.
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1. I'm a strong advocate of testing as an important pillar of the coronavirus pandemic response. There is often confusion about what testing offers, and I think it's helpful to
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