A Marm Kilpatrick, Discover and Read the Best of Twitter Threads by @DiseaseEcology

A Marm Kilpatrick

DiseaseEcology

How increasing #COVID19 cases overwhelm contact tracing (CT) & lead to runaway/accelerating epidemics. Also, how delays make CT ~useless.(bonus: how heterogeneity can lead to highly variable timing of epidemics)New paper

Is herd immunity now high enough to contribute to reduced transmission of #COVID19?Thread from @trvrb is provoking substantial discussion as it should. I'd like to add a few details that

Rampant #COVID spread in a kids camp: a preview of school re-opening?New paper with unsettling details that unfortunately challenges claims that transmission in young children will be lower than adults.More

New paper from @baym @BillHanage @LeeKShaffer. Examines benefit of "backward" contact tracing #COVID19 infectors of detected cases. Although basic idea is sound & used by Japan contact tracers, I'm a

New paper examining transmission of #COVID19 on trains as function of trip duration & distance (rows vs columns).Data are analyzed assuming transmission happens on train but key figure suggests transmission

How not to do a #COVID19 seroprevalence studyNew paper out today from CDC that is so problematic I want to cry.(great material for @callin_bull)Quick thread.https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2768834 Backgroun

Do kids transmit #COVID19 less often than adults?New paper published from contact tracing in S Korea.(I'm 1-2d late to the party but other threads are mis-representing the paper/data or missing

Current evidence on immunity for #COVID19.My *non-expert* overview(replying to comment by @taaltree & would love help/comments from actual immunity expert: @florian_krammer or others)Threadhttps://twitter.com/taaltree/status/12832338636

How should we interpret #COVID19 case counts given the enormous variation in testing? A quick cautionary thread.As everyone knows the # of "confirmed cases" for COVID19 are a small fraction

What is #herdimmunity threshold for #COVID19?A topic of much discussion due to large uncertainty & huge consequences for long term impact. New paper illustrates 1 key aspect that can reduce

ALOHA may be in troubleStart. Aug 1 you can go to Hawaii w/out 14d quarantineJust $150 to get #COVID19 test 72 hrs before flight & if negative & no fever

Misleading paper is being promoted as showing that transmission in schools is unlikely and children are less susceptible to #COVID19. Data presented show opposite - equal attack rate in all

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